candlesticks
10 MAR
12:29
Gann Swing Charts
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One of the core principles of technical analysis is that prices move in trends. Subsequently, the goal of technical analysts is to identify the trend in its very early stages of development. While experienced traders may nod their head in agreement, often beginners face difficulties identifying the trend on the price chart. Lack of experience and practice is to blame, of course. Trend is identified once the turning points of the market are spotted. The technique of spotting the tops and the bottoms on the chart is not clear to everyone and the procedure can become an unpleasant process of trial and error for newbies.
This article intends to shed some light into just that.
W.D. Gann
William Delbert Gann is considered by some to be one of the greatest traders of stocks and commodities of all time. He correctly forecasted that the 1909 September wheat price would reach $1.20, Black Friday of 1929 and the 1930s Great Depression, just to name a few of his calls.
Gann was fond of mathematics and as a result he spent many years studying the subject in England, India and Egypt. He believed that the markets follow the laws of mathematics and that there is a relationship between price and time. He later formulated his theory into what is known as the squaring of price and time. Even though he went on to develop many complicated concepts and theories, the Gann Swing Charts remains perhaps one of the easiest to understand.
Gann Swing Charts
The main goal of using Gann’s charts is to remove the “noise” from the price charts, which is not only unnecessary but also obscures the interpretation of the price action. Gann put in place an objective, a mechanical procedure – free from emotions and subjectivity – to identify the swings on the price chart.
Four Basic Elements of Gann Swing Charts
Up Day – Higher High, Higher Low
Down Day – Lower High, Lower Low
Inside Day – Lower High, Higher Low
Outside Day – Higher High, Lower Low
Construction of Gann Swing Charts
The rules for constructing Gann Swing Charts are as follows:
Identify the turning points on the price chart.
A series of Up Days followed by a Down Day marks the end of the uptrend and the beginning of a new trend in the opposite direction: downtrend.
A series of Down Days followed by an Up Day marks the end of the downtrend and the beginning of a new trend in the opposite direction: uptrend.
Ignore Inside Days as they are neutral.
Outside Days are treated as “wait and see”.
Up Day – Green
Turning Point
Down Day – Red
Inside Day – Black
Outside Day - Blue
Time Factor
The next step is to remove the time factor by deleting all the candlesticks/bars that are not turning points. After all, what we are really interested in is the direction of the market.
Turning Point
Trading the Swing Charts
Many find trading the Gann Swing Charts easier as the entry and the stop loss are clearly identified on the price chart. The potential profit levels can be spotted using different theories. You can use the Fibonacci price extension levels (for example, 1.618, 2.618 and 4.236), altering the Fibonacci levels according to your trading profile.
Additionally, one may choose to keep a trade open, trailing the stop loss at subsequent swings until a swing in the opposite direction is identified. This is common practice in trading the financial markets. Caution should be taken; while the trailing stop may safeguard potential profits, at the same time it may prematurely exit a profitable trade.
On the other hand, keeping a fixed stop loss expecting a swing in the opposite direction to book potential profits may result in more profits, but equally it might turn a winning trade into a losing one. The choice is yours!
Conclusion
Gann Swing Charts remove unnecessary price action, displaying only the important turning points that make decision-making a more objective and straightforward process. This not only makes chart analysis easier, but it also “preserves” one of the most important factors in trading the financial markets: discipline.
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Disclaimer: This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Risk Warning: There is a high level of risk involved with trading leveraged products such as forex and CFDs. You should not risk more than you can afford to lose, it is possible that you may lose more than your initial investment. You should not trade unless you fully understand the true extent of your exposure to the risk of loss. When trading, you must always take into consideration your level of experience. If the risks involved seem unclear to you, please seek independent financial advice.
07 Mar
03.56
What is downtrend?
We’ve covered uptrend, so it’s only natural that we discuss its polar opposite: the downtrend!
A downtrend is a series of successively lower tops and lower bottoms, which create a downward pattern on the price chart. Though they are completely opposite, the downtrend is like the uptrend: if its pattern holds, it remains intact.
The line that connects two or more tops is called the "downtrend line". A minimum of two tops are needed to make a downtrend line. But the more tops used to draw that line, the more traders feel confident in the downtrend because it reinforces the direction. The downtrend line acts as the “resistance” while the bottoms act as “support”. In this context, the usual trajectory of price is that, once it reaches the downtrend line, it rebounds to register even lower. When demand becomes greater than supply, the downtrend line will be breached.
This is when the price starts making higher swing tops or higher swing bottoms. Traders will then question the downtrend, or a reversal has taken place and has turned into an uptrend.
Remember that trends are not always a perfectly straight line. A downtrend may zigzag over time on a chart. But if it’s generally going down, it’s still a downtrend. This is illustrated by peaks and troughs reaching new lows as the trend progresses.
A downtrend gives traders an opportunity to make a profit from falling asset prices. If the trader has identified lower swing highs and lower swing lows, they can enter the downtrend in the hope that it continues. The trader sells a contract for difference (CFD) and goes “short” the market, in the hope of buying it back at a lower price.
Failing to make more new lower tops and bottoms may mean a change in trend. This is a signal to buy the asset and exit your short.
How do you identify a downtrend?
A downtrend is a series of lower tops and lower bottoms. Drawing a trendline from one swing high and connecting it to another successive, lower swing high will reveal a downtrend. You can extend that line on the chart to show projected prices into the future.
How do you trade a downtrend?
After drawing trendlines which identify a downtrend, the projected line into the future can act as a resistance level. This could be used as an entry point to sell the asset or go short. Above this level may mean a reversal in trend where you can place a stop order.
Do you buy or sell in a downtrend?
Generally, traders will look to sell the rallies during a downtrend. However, some traders may look for new lows to be made before selling. This is because trend followers like to enter in the middle of a trend when that trend is more established.
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Disclaimer: This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Risk Warning: There is a high level of risk involved with trading leveraged products such as forex and CFDs. You should not risk more than you can afford to lose, it is possible that you may lose more than your initial investment. You should not trade unless you fully understand the true extent of your exposure to the risk of loss. When trading, you must always take into consideration your level of experience. If the risks involved seem unclear to you, please seek independent financial advice.
07 Mar
03.30
What Is A Japanese Candlestick Chart?
The Japanese version of price charting uses a shape similar to a candlestick as a visual representation. The Japanese candlestick method of visualising charts is one of, if not the, most popular methods of looking at charts for the modern trader.
The way it works is that one candlestick shows the open, high, close and low point of the price at a given timeframe. The shadow or wick shows the distance between the high and the low. The body of the candle, or “real body”, measures the distance between the open and the close. When the close is greater than the open price, then the body of the candlestick is white. This reflects a positive sentiment in the market. When the close is less than the open price, then the body of the candlestick is black. This reflects a negative sentiment in the market.
There are many different shapes and sizes to the candlesticks and the patterns they form, all of which come with their own special names. For example, one of the simplest and most popular candlestick patterns is called ‘the hammer’. This is when the candle has a long lower shadow and a short body, with a tiny or no shadow on top. The hammer is made up of just one candle and is a type of bullish reversal candlestick.
Next, head over to our video on trend reversal.
How can I improve my forex trading skills?
Analysis is a key part of a trader's day. Firstly, that means self-analysis about your own performance and results. Many traders keep a trading journal to help with this. Secondly, regularly monitor the markets you trade. This includes looking at both technical and fundamental factors that might affect your trades, throughout the day.
How can I improve my forex trading discipline?
Keeping and maintaining short-term and long-term goals can help you on your journey to becoming more disciplined. Trading at a time of day when you are most alert is important. Being confident and calm will also help. Studies have even shown that being well-fed and comfortable helps traders maintain their discipline.
How many candlestick patterns are there?
There are hundreds of different Japanese Candlestick patterns. They can be used for any time frame, from one minute to one day and longer. It is down to your individual trading strategy to decide which candle pattern suits you.
A common pattern to note is a 'doji'. This candlestick is formed when the opening and closing prices are the same, or very close to each other. The shadow lengths may vary, but the candle is telling us that buyers and sellers have cancelled each other out and there is indecision in the market.
There are several variations of a doji, including a long-legged doji and a gravestone doji, which have varying lengths of shadow or wick.
Back to Videos
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Disclaimer: This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Risk Warning: There is a high level of risk involved with trading leveraged products such as forex and CFDs. You should not risk more than you can afford to lose, it is possible that you may lose more than your initial investment. You should not trade unless you fully understand the true extent of your exposure to the risk of loss. When trading, you must always take into consideration your level of experience. If the risks involved seem unclear to you, please seek independent financial advice.